Dairy market news at a glance (April 26-30)
Tuesday, May 4, 2021
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Click here for the complete USDA Dairy Market News for April 26-20 BUTTER: Grade AA closed at $1.7525. The weekly average for
Grade AA is $1.7860 (-0.0080). CHEESE: Barrels closed at $1.8350 and 40# blocks at $1.8000. The
weekly average for barrels is $1.8110 (+0.0205) and blocks, $1.8010
(+0.0085). NONFAT DRY MILK: Grade A closed at $1.3250. The weekly
average for Grade A is $1.3110 (+0.0690). DRY WHEY: Extra grade dry whey closed at $0.6600. The weekly
average for dry whey is $0.6630 (-0.0050). CHEESE HIGHLIGHTS: Cheesemakers continue to report a
bountiful, flush-level milk supply. Spot milk prices in the Midwest
ranged from $5 under Class to flat Class this week. Price points at $.50
over Class from last week were not reported. Food service sales
maintained strength when compared to most of the past year, however
demand has begun to level off as a number of customers have recently
refilled pipelines. Retail cheese demand reports are mixed. Eastern
retail sales are hearty. Midwestern demand reports vary, but some
producers say buyers are hesitant to add to their growing inventories in
case of a market shift down. Cheese inventories remain mixed. Barrels
are generally noted as tighter, but blocks are more available depending
on variety. Despite the atypical barrel-over-block price scheme on the
CME, market tones are generally steady at this point. BUTTER HIGHLIGHTS: Cream is reported to be a little tighter
than last week. Butter production rates are stable to lower, with churn
operations following typical seasonal patterns. Inventories are balanced
in Central and Western coolers but growing in the East. Some contacts
share that retail and food service orders are trending steady to lower
overall, although there is some slight variation in demand between
regions. Across the country, bulk prices range from 1.0 to 8.0 cents
above the market this week. FLUID MILK: Milk production is varied across the regions, this
week, with high output reported in the Southeast, Midwest, and
generally throughout the West. Production is steady in the Northeast.
Output is in a slow decline in Florida. Regardless, there is plenty of
milk available across the country for processing operations. Class I
demand is steady to higher nationwide, however some Midwestern
contacts have reported a concern with limited bottling demand in the
near future. Contacts report that condensed skim discounts are scarce
to non-existent. Tanker delays related to driver shortages are a growing
problem throughout all regions. Cream multiples are generally similar
to last week, despite reports of a slightly tightening availability. DRY PRODUCTS: Across all regions low/medium and high heat
nonfat dry milk (NDM) prices increased this week. Global demand is
putting a strain on domestic production/supply. Dry buttermilk prices
shifted higher at the bottom of the range in the Central and East, while
prices in the West also moved up at the bottom of the range and both
sides of the mostly price series. Domestic demand for dry buttermilk
has lessened in recent weeks, but international demand remains strong.
The gap between international and domestic dry whole milk prices is
closing as domestic prices continue to increase. National dry whey
prices are steady to higher. Demand has slowed as higher prices have
made purchasers hesitant. WPC 34% prices are steady to higher.
Supplies are short for WPC 34% that is needed for specific purposes,
particularly infant formula manufacturing. Lactose prices are steady as
production is keeping pace with demand. Contacts are concerned that
potential impediments, such as African swine fever or freight/port
constraints, could abruptly shift currently healthy market prices. Acid
and rennet casein prices held steady on the shortened week. INTERNATIONAL DAIRY MARKET NEWS: WESTERN
EUROPEAN OVERVIEW: It is expected that seasonal peak milk
production in the primary Western European milk producing countries
will occur in a few weeks. Cheese prices in Germany and France are
reported as steady. Italian cheese varieties are showing some price
strength. UK sources are looking toward increased post Brexit cheese
and yogurt production in coming years. EASTERN EUROPEAN OVERVIEW: Poland is a leader in
Eastern European milk production. January - March 2021 milk
production increased 0.7 percent from January - March 2020 according
to ZMB. Butter production January – March 2021 increased 0.4 percent
from January – March 2020. Cheese production January – March is up
3.6 percent. OCEANIA DAIRY MARKET OVERVIEW: AUSTRALIA:
July 2020 - March 2021 seasonal milk production in Australia,
increased 0.7 percent from July 2019 – March 2020, according to Dairy
Australia. March 2021 milk production, 628.4 million liters, decreased
1.8 percent from March 2020. NEW ZEALAND: March 2021 New Zealand milk solids reported
by NZX are up 8.7 percent from March 2020 milk solids. March 2021
milk production on a tonnage basis is up 9.8 percent from March 2020.
Season to date through March 2021 milk solids increased 1.8 percent
from last season through March 2021. Seasonal milk tonnage is up 1.6
percent through March 2021. New Zealand commodity exchange
sources attribute the March 2021 milk production increase to favorable
pasture conditions during February into March. SOUTH AMERICA OVERVIEW: Dry weather lingers in parts of
South America. In Argentina, drier conditions are increasing farmers’
soybean harvests. In parts of Mexico, very dry/drought weather
conditions are taking a toll on milk output. In addition, these dry
conditions are affecting some lakes in Mexico. There are positive
forecasts of production increases in corn, barley and wheat. Moreover,
there are expected increases in production and planting areas for
soybeans and rice. WMP and SMP markets are displaying solid
undertones. Buying demands have heightened at this time. Some WMP
manufacturers are sold out of supplies. There is some continued
pressure on margins for dairy operators with higher feed costs
emerging. In Venezuela, farmers are faced with diesel shortages. NATIONAL RETAIL REPORT (DMN): Dairy retail
advertisement totals increased 2 percent in the conventional sector, and
organic dairy ad totals increased 13 percent this reporting week.
Conventional ice cream, in 48-64 oz containers, was the most advertised
dairy item this week, with an average price of $3.23, up 18 cents from
last week. Organic milk, in half gallon containers, was the most
advertised organic item. In half gallon containers, the weighted average
price of conventional milk was $2.19, compared to $4.10 for organic
milk, an organic premium of $1.91. 2020 MAILBOX PRICES (FMMO): In 2020, mailbox milk prices
for selected reporting areas in Federal milk orders averaged $16.96 per
cwt., $0.94 lower than 2019. The component tests of producer milk in
2020 averaged: butterfat, 3.92 percent; protein, 3.18 percent; and other
solids, 5.77 percent. JANUARY MAILBOX PRICES (FMMO): In January 2021,
mailbox milk prices for selected reporting areas in Federal milk orders
averaged $16.12 per cwt, down $1.22 from the December 2020 average
and down $2.75 per cwt from the January 2020 average. The
component tests of producer milk in January 2021 were: butterfat,
4.06%; protein, 3.26%; and other solids, 5.77%. MARCH MILK MARKET UTILIZATION (FMMO): During
March, 11.0 billion pounds of milk were received from Federally
pooled producers. This volume of milk is 18.4 percent lower than the
March 2020 volume. Regulated handlers pooled 3.7 billion pounds of
producer milk as Class I products, down 6.8 percent when compared to
the previous year. The all-market average Class utilization percentages
were: Class I = 34%, Class II = 17%, Class III = 14%, and Class IV =
35%. The weighted average statistical uniform price was $15.89 per
cwt, $0.77 higher than last month but $1.13 lower than last year. APRIL RETAIL MILK PRICE (FMMO): U.S. simple average
prices are: $3.58 per gallon for conventional whole milk, $3.55 per
gallon for conventional reduced fat 2% milk, $4.09 per half gallon
organic whole milk, and $4.09 per half gallon organic reduced fat 2%
milk.
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