Dairy market news at a glance (May 31 - June 4)
Tuesday, June 8, 2021
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Click here for the complete USDA Dairy Market News for May 31-June 4 BUTTER: Grade AA closed at $1.7750. The weekly average for
Grade AA is $1.7900 (-0.0190). CHEESE: Barrels closed at $1.6150 and 40# blocks at $1.5000. The
weekly average for barrels is $1.5931 (-0.0124) and blocks, $1.5050
(-0.0380). NONFAT DRY MILK: Grade A closed at $1.2600. The weekly
average for Grade A is $1.2775 (-0.0135). DRY WHEY: Extra grade dry whey closed at $0.6025. The weekly
average for dry whey is $0.6019 (-0.0376). CHEESE HIGHLIGHTS: The cheese market tone remains
strained this week. A month ago, barrel and block prices were at or
above $1.80. Currently, prices are in the $1.50s and adding to contacts'
concerns is the "inverted" price situation. Contacts view the current
barrel-over-block price with some consternation, as historically block
prices tend to maintain a few cents up to a dime above barrel prices.
The potential of barrel prices sliding down to the more typical price
arrangement looms. Cheese production is busy with the current
availability of milk. Spot milk prices were $6 to $5 under Class in the
Midwest. Cheese production and cheese supplies are ahead of demand,
according to contacts. BUTTER HIGHLIGHTS: Plenty of cream was available
coming out of the holiday. Some contacts expect there may be
increasing tightness in the coming weeks. Butter output varies across
and within regions; some plant managers report seasonally decreased
production while others are maintaining more active schedules to stock
up now for fall orders. Inventories are available for current contract
and spot needs. Retail demand remains soft. Food service orders are
strong and continuing to grow. Some contacts have reported a decrease
in export interest for 82% milkfat butter. This week, bulk butter prices
range from 1.0 to 8.0 cents above market across the country. FLUID MILK: U.S. milk production is seasonally waning. The
cool end of Midwest temperature swings into the 20s have slowed the
decline but the highs into the 90s portend milk production trending
lower. There are concerns about continuing dry conditions, as those
conditions relate to crop progress for feed and forage. Milk production
is strong in the mountain states of Idaho, Utah, and Colorado, even
long in Idaho, where milk is available at discounts of up to $6.00 under
Class IV. Class I demand is shifting into a typical summer lull in much
of the country. Western demand for Class II and III is growing. Spot
milk prices ranged from $6.00 to $5.00 under Class III in the upper
Midwest. The milk surpluses are not expected to last much
longer. Condensed skim markets are stable with limited availability at
flat class pricing in some regions. Cream markets loosened this week
but that is not expected to remain for long as summer heat develops.
Most butter plants report cream is available even with ice cream
demand. Butter plant scheduled maintenance in coming weeks will
help spread cream as overall supplies tighten. Cream multiples are
1.32 to 1.36 in the East, 1.20 to 1.36 in the Midwest, and 1.00 to 1.28
in the West. DRY PRODUCTS: Low/medium and high heat nonfat dry milk
(NDM) prices are mixed throughout U.S. regions this week. Lower
interest in low/medium heat NDM results from more condensed skim
availability and buyers who feel NDM pricing will weaken. High heat
NDM supplies are tight in the Central region. Demand in the West is
weak, keeping downward pressure on prices. The dry buttermilk price
ranges are steady to higher while the mostly is lower. Buying activity
is slow and dryer scheduling tends to prefer NDM. The dry whole
milk price range contracted following mixed pricing. Dry whole milk
markets are steadily focused on filling contracts. The Central and
Northeast dry whey price ranges are steady to higher. The West price
range is steady. Export demand is steady, but some domestic buyers
are slowing purchases. Whey protein concentrate 34% prices are
steady to higher. Production is steady with demand stronger for
preferred brands. Lactose prices are unchanged. Inventories are in
good balance. Prices for acid casein and rennet casein are higher.
Supply tightness is supporting price strength. ORGANIC DAIRY MARKET NEWS: Operators of a U.S.
creamery that suffered major damages from a fire earlier this spring
continue to work through challenges. The dairy operation previously
took in 500,000 pounds of milk a day from nearby farms. The
operators are working with regional processors. Reports indicate that
most of the organic milk is being processed at other plants via
conventional handling methods, as some operations do not have the
operating capacity to isolate the organic milk while still taking in milk
from their own conventional producers. Trading in the organic feed
corn markets is moderate on good buying activity. Organic corn traded
$1.38 cents higher FOB this reporting period. Current demands for
organic feed soybeans are firm on solid trading activities. Organic feed
soybeans traded $2.63 higher FOB. There is limited forward
contracting in organic food soybean markets. Trading activities are
limited in organic soybean meal and soybean oil, however, markets are
generally steady. There are reports new crop forward contracting is a
bit slow for organic feed wheat. Market trends and trading activities
are inactive on all other organic grains at this time. NATIONAL RETAIL REPORT (DMN): Conventional dairy ad
numbers increased 13 percent this week. The most advertised
conventional dairy item this week is 48 to 64-ounce containers of ice
cream. Ad numbers increased 2 percent from last week. The national
weighted average price is $3.08, up $0.02 from last week. Conventional
8 oz. cream cheese has an average price of $1.76, down $0.11 from last
week. Conventional cream cheese ad numbers decreased 46 percent. APRIL AGRICULTURAL PRICES HIGHLIGHTS (NASS):
The All Milk price received by farmers was $18.40 in April, up $4.00
from April 2020. Milk Cows price was $1,310 in April, up $60.00 from
April 2020. Alfalfa hay price was $187.00 in April, up $7.00 from April
2020. Corn price was $5.31 in April, up $2.02 from April 2020.
Soybean price was $13.90 in April, up $5.55 from April 2020. The milk
-feed price ratio was 1.75 in April, down 0.10 from April 2020. The
index of prices received by farmers for dairy products during the month
of April 2021 was up 4.9 to 91.5. Compared to April 2020, the index
was up 19.9 points (27.8 percent). The index of prices paid by farmers
for commodities and services, interest, taxes, and wage rates in April
2021 was up 0.9 to 112.6. Compared with April 2020, the index was up
4.5 points (4.2 percent). MAY FINAL CLASS PRICES HIGHLIGHTS (FMMO): The
following are the May 2021 class prices under the Federal milk order
pricing system and changes from the previous month: Class II: $16.22
($+0.66), Class III: $18.96 ($+1.29), and Class IV: $16.16 ($+0.74).
Under the Federal milk order pricing system, the butterfat price for May
2021 is $1.9851 per pound. Thus, the Class II butterfat price is $1.9921
per pound. The protein and other solids prices for May 2021 are
$3.1307 and $0.4645 per pound, respectively. These component prices
set the Class III skim milk price at $12.45 per cwt. The May 2021 Class
IV skim milk price is $9.55, which is derived from the nonfat solids
price of $1.0607 per pound. The product price averages for May 2021
are: butter $1.8107, nonfat dry milk $1.2392, cheese $1.8206, and dry
whey $0.6501.
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